Our model makes Castellon the favourite at home against Eibar in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 63.9% of simulations compared to 16.5% for an away win and 19.6% for a draw. Expected goals land at 2.18 for Castellon and 1.01 for Eibar, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Castellon is projected to finish on 69.8 points (ELO 1610) while Eibar is on 66.5 points (ELO 1597). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Castellon vs Eibar
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Castellon
63.9%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
Eibar
16.5%
xG · Castellon
2.18
xG · Eibar
1.01
Home
Castellon
- Expected points
- 69.8
- Most likely finish
- #6
- ELO
- 1610
Full season outlook →
Away
Eibar
- Expected points
- 66.5
- Most likely finish
- #8
- ELO
- 1597
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.