Our model makes Las Palmas the favourite at home against Zaragoza in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 55.1% of simulations compared to 22.4% for an away win and 22.4% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.82 for Las Palmas and 1.23 for Zaragoza, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Las Palmas is projected to finish on 71.9 points (ELO 1579) while Zaragoza is on 37.2 points (ELO 1328). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Las Palmas vs Zaragoza
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Las Palmas
55.1%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
Zaragoza
22.4%
xG · Las Palmas
1.82
xG · Zaragoza
1.23
Home
Las Palmas
- Expected points
- 71.9
- Most likely finish
- #5
- ELO
- 1579
Full season outlook →
Away
Zaragoza
- Expected points
- 37.2
- Most likely finish
- #22
- ELO
- 1328
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.