Our model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at home against Almeria in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 48.4% of simulations compared to 30.5% for an away win and 21.1% for a draw. Expected goals land at 2.22 for Sporting Gijon and 1.23 for Almeria, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Sporting Gijon is projected to finish on 58.0 points (ELO 1467) while Almeria is on 73.9 points (ELO 1590). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Sporting Gijon vs Almeria
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Sporting Gijon
48.4%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
Almeria
30.5%
xG · Sporting Gijon
2.22
xG · Almeria
1.23
Home
Sporting Gijon
- Expected points
- 58.0
- Most likely finish
- #12
- ELO
- 1467
Full season outlook →
Away
Almeria
- Expected points
- 73.9
- Most likely finish
- #3
- ELO
- 1590
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.