Bournemouth is the slight favourite on the road against Nottingham in Premier League, winning 54.0% of simulations to Nottingham's 24.0% (22.1% draw). Expected goals land at 1.24 for Nottingham and 2.16 for Bournemouth, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Nottingham is projected to finish on 43.9 points (ELO 1508) while Bournemouth is on 57.9 points (ELO 1570). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest Premier League results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.