Our model makes Tottenham the favourite at home against Everton in Premier League, winning the match in 38.2% of simulations compared to 35.5% for an away win and 26.2% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.28 for Tottenham and 1.35 for Everton, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Tottenham is projected to finish on 40.4 points (ELO 1397) while Everton is on 50.3 points (ELO 1483). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest Premier League results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.