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Racing Santander

LaLiga Hypermotion title, Europe and relegation probabilities β€” round 40.

Last updated 2026-05-18

Expected points
80.9
Expected position
1.1
Most likely finish
#1
93.7%
ELO rating
1649

Summary

Racing Santander is one of the favourites for direct promotion from LaLiga Hypermotion, with a 100.0% chance of finishing in the top two according to our Monte Carlo model. The model projects Racing Santander to finish on 80.9 points and in position 1.1 on average, with the most likely final placement being #1 (93.7% of runs). Their current ELO rating is 1649, which is updated from real match results after every matchday before the next simulation batch runs. All probabilities below are refreshed weekly from the latest LaLiga Hypermotion match data; click through to the interactive dashboard to compare Racing Santander against every other club in the division.

Season outlook

Direct promotion
100.0%
Playoff
0.0%
Relegation
0.0%

Most likely finishing positions

  • #1
    93.7%
  • #2
    6.3%

Upcoming matches β€” Racing Santander

Probabilities computed by running the remaining LaLiga Hypermotion schedule through our ELO-based Monte Carlo model. xG (expected goals) is estimated from each team's attack and defence ratings relative to their opponent.

How we compute these

Every week we rebuild ELO ratings for each club from historical match data, then run hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining LaLiga Hypermotion fixtures.Racing Santander's row above shows the distribution of final league positions across those simulations, aggregated into the competitive outcomes that matter.