Our model makes Getafe the favourite at home against Osasuna in LaLiga, winning the match in 41.6% of simulations compared to 28.2% for an away win and 30.3% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.21 for Getafe and 0.88 for Osasuna, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Getafe is projected to finish on 49.6 points (ELO 1490) while Osasuna is on 43.1 points (ELO 1433). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga · match prediction
Getafe vs Osasuna
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Getafe
41.6%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
Osasuna
28.2%
xG · Getafe
1.21
xG · Osasuna
0.88
Home
Getafe
- Expected points
- 49.6
- Most likely finish
- #7
- ELO
- 1490
Full season outlook →
Away
Osasuna
- Expected points
- 43.1
- Most likely finish
- #16
- ELO
- 1433
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.